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A New Housing Bubble Forming…Not Before 2024!

A recent report by CoreLogic revealed that U.S. home values appreciated by more than 37% over the last five years. Some are concerned that this is evidence we may be on the verge of another housing “boom & bust” like the one we experienced from 2006-2008.

Recently, several housing experts weighed in on the subject to alleviate these fears.

Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac Chief Economist

 “The evidence indicates there currently is no house price bubble in the U.S., despite the rapid increase of house prices over the last five years.”

Edward Golding, a Senior Fellow at the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center

 “There is not likely to be a national bubble in the way that we saw the first decade of the century.”

Christopher Thornberg, Partner at Beacon Economics

 “There is no direct or indirect sign of any kind of bubble.”

Bill McBride, Calculated Risk

 “I wouldn’t call house prices a bubble.”

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices

 “Housing is not repeating the bubble period of 2000-2006.”

A recent article by Teo Nicolais, a real estate entrepreneur who teaches courses on real estate principles, markets, and finance at Harvard Extension School concluded that the next housing bubble may not occur until 2024.

The article, How to Use Real Estate Trends to Predict the Next Housing Bubble, looks at previous peaks in real estate values going all the way back to 1818. Nicolais uses the research of several economists. The article details the four phases of a real estate cycle and what defines each phase.

Nicolais concluded his article by saying:

“Those who study the financial crisis of 2008 will (we hope) always be weary of the next major crash. If George, Harrison, and Foldvary are right, however, that won’t happen until after the next peak around 2024. 

Between now and then, aside from the occasional slow down and inevitable market hiccups, the real estate industry is likely to enjoy a long period of expansion.”

Bottom Line

The reason for the price appreciation we are seeing is an imbalance between supply and demand for housing. This has created a natural increase in values, not a bubble in prices.

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About Area

Hayesville, North Carolina is a small city in the extreme southwestern mountains of North Carolina. The city itself consists of about half a square mile of land, all of it being land. Just to the north of Hayesville, the Hiawassee River flows westward into the Rocky Mountains and Tennessee. Downtown Hayesville consists of the original historic courthouse and jail, which have been converted into a museum. There are also many unique shops and restaurants, and the idyllic little town square plays hostto many different concerts, festivals, and fun events throughout the year. Some of the most popular attractions in Hayesville consist of outdoor activities, as the Good Lord saw fit to make this area of the world a beautiful and wonderful outdoor playground. Hiking and biking trails abound, as well as tubingand fishing on the river and Fires Creek. Heritage of the mountain people as well as the Cherokee people before them is celebrated and memorialized in a couple different sites. And agritourism is a popular attraction offered by many of the local farms. The landscape here is absolutely picture perfect. Tall blue mountains rise up in the distance on all sides, while much of Hayesville is level to hilly farm and pasture land. It is truly a beautiful site for a home or just to sit back and relax in perfect peace. Many people who come to this area to visit are here to unwind and escape the daily grind. If, however, you would like to make this paradise a more permanent escape, contact Best Mountain Deals today. The people of Hayesville are always ready to welcome a new neighbor, and our team of agents most definitely have the best listings currently offered.

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